Formerly known as “Robbie Anderson,” and then briefly “Chosen Anderson,” the newly minted Robbie Chosen hit a sudden career downturn in 2021, which manifested into a full-blown collapse last season. But Chosen has a shot at reclaiming fantasy relevance with the Miami Dolphins in 2023. Can he shock the fantasy football world and become a steal in fantasy drafts?

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Robbie Chosen’s Recent Seasons

The context for Chosen’s career year in 2020 needs to be explained. In his first four NFL seasons, Chosen had been a very good receiver for the WR-needy Jets. With the Panthers in 2020, he and Teddy Bridgewater somehow clicked, despite the presence of the ascending DJ Moore and Curtis Samuel.

Yes, this was a highly unusual receiving corps, where a subpar QB could adequately feed three fantasy wideouts. Chosen led the way with a 69.9% catch rate. Before then, he had never topped 55.3%. He was as fantasy relevant as ever.

But the last two years have sent Chosen’s stock plummeting to depths not seen since he went undrafted as a college senior in 2016. For context, 31 other wide receivers were selected in that draft. Only 11 are still in the league, of which five are hanging by a thread.

Objectively, Chosen has had one of the most successful WR careers from that draft class. He’s currently fourth in receptions and receiving yards, with more than double the receiving yards of the No. 6 receiver.

And yet, he’s been one of the league’s least-efficient receivers these last two seasons, reeling in 48.2% of his targets in 2021 and 45.5% last year. Among wide receivers with 35+ targets, Chosen’s 2021 mark was the third lowest in the NFL. Last year’s tally was the absolute worst among WRs with 35+ targets.

We might blame his downturn on poor QB play. But that’s too easy an excuse, and it doesn’t hold water. He played quite well with Sam Darnold and Josh McCown under center for the Jets, as well as the previously mentioned Bridgewater in Carolina. Then he flopped with Darnold, Cam Newton, and Baker Mayfield under center for the Panthers, before flaming out with Kyler Murray in Arizona.

As harsh as this might sound, Chosen’s descent has more to do with him than with his surrounding personnel. Again, he thrived alongside two starter-caliber WRs and a talent-capped QB in 2020. But he’s not the same player, as evidenced by his sudden collapse these past two seasons. And now, at 30 years old, his shot at redemption is fading.

Robbie Chosen’s 2023 Expectations

If there is a silver lining in Chosen’s future, it’s that he’s joined a top-heavy Dolphins passing attack with an opening at the WR3 spot. Miami’s Cedrick Wilson Jr. experiment didn’t pan out last season, as the impressive offseason acquisition was outplayed by 26-year-old former UDFA Trent Sherfield.

Now Sherfield is in Buffalo, and perhaps Wilson is no closer to fulfilling his potential in Year 2 in Miami. 2022 fourth-rounder Erik Ezukanma remains a development project. Veterans Braxton Berrios and River Cracraft might top out as No. 4 WRs, though Berrios could challenge for a larger share if things break right.

That leaves Chosen as the wild card. He still has the pedigree of a playmaker. A strong camp and demonstrable chemistry with Tua Tagovailoa could net Chosen the team’s third-most targets on a team that just vacated 103 targets (Sherfield and Mike Gesicki).

One might argue that Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle can do only so much. They combined for a 51% target share last season, and that can’t realistically go much higher. The Dolphins need another receiver to step up.

If it’s Chosen, then he’ll instantly be a fantasy-relevant speedy receiver with strong after-the-catch potential. In that way, he fits in nicely alongside after-the-catch monsters Hill and Waddle.

But let’s be frank. This constitutes a wildly best-case scenario. It’s not at all realistic. Maybe there’s a 20% chance that Chosen cracks the top 50. Maybe 10%. He would need to play far better than he has these past two seasons while leapfrogging all other secondary receivers on the depth chart.

Miami signed Chosen to a cheap one-year contract. It was an almost nothing-to-lose acquisition. As such, they’ll have almost nothing to lose if they cut him in September.

If you’re a fantasy manager seeking a modest-upside lottery ticket, sure, take a chance on Chosen. For the rest of you, Chosen has more name recognition than upside potential. The last two years weren’t flukes; they were clear signs of a player nearing the end of a better-than-expected career. There are dozens of other top-125 WRs with higher ceilings.